andhra_pradesh_electoral_map
Chinmay Krovvidi
Andhra Pradesh Opinion Poll
This article originally appeared in centreright.in. CRI content has now been subsumed in swarajyamag.com. The views expressed here are personal and do not necessarily reflect those of the editors of swarajyamag.com
  • The field work for the survey was carried in between 29th November to 9th December 2012.
  • The sample size of the survey was 3115 voters with a cross section representation of people of various communities proportionate to their representation across the state.
  • The survey was carried out in 51 rural areas and 23 urban and semi urban centers spread over 32 assembly constituencies.
  • The margin of error in the survey is +/- 3%.
  • If the figures don’t add upto 100% its due to respondents either favoring options not given in the questionnaire or having no opinion on the question posed.

Vote share and Seat Projection – Rayalaseema

        Party

Region

Rayalaseema

Total seats-51

Seat share

Vote share

(in percentage%)

2012

Congress-I

7

24%

TDP

5

22%

YSR Congress

39

42%

Vote share and Seat Projection – North Andhra

Party

Region

North Andhra

Total seats-34

Seat share

Vote Share

(in percentage%)

2012

Congress-I

12

29%

TDP

09

28%

YSR Congress

11

31%

Vote share and Seat Projection – Dakshina & Coastal Andhra

Party


Region

Dakshina & Coastal Andhra

Total seats-89

Seat share

Vote Share

(in percentage%)

2012

Congress-I

18

26%
TDP

15

24%
YSR Congress

54

38%

Vote share and Seat Projection – Telangana(excluding Greater Hyderabad)

Party

Region

Telangana(excluding Greater Hyderabad)

Total seats-95

Votes share

(in per centage%)

2012

TRS

48

35%

Congress-I

15

18%

TDP

14

20%

YSR Congress

9

11%

BJP

2

7%

Vote share and Seat Projection – Greater Hyderabad (including Hyderabad & Ranga Reddy districts)

 

Party

Region Greater Hyderabad (including Hyderabad & Ranga Reddy districts)

Total seats-24

Vote share

(in percentage%)

2012

Congress

3

12%

TDP

5

16%

YSR Congress

1

9%

MIM

10

19%

TRS

2

9%

BJP

3

15%

Vote share of parties

Party

Vote share

In 2013

Vote share in 2009

(ECI data)

Change (from 2009 to 2012)

Congress-I

22%

36.56%

-14.56%

TDP

21.9%

28.12%

-6.22%

YSR Congress

34.4%

+34.4%

TRS

9.7%

3.99%

+5.71%

BJP

4.3%

2.84%

+1.48%

MIM

2.1%

0.83%

+0.44%

PRP

16.22%

others

5.6%

12.1%

-6.5%

Vote share of parties

Party Vote share in 2009 Vote share in 2013 change
Congress-I+PRP 52.78% 22%     -30.78%
TDP 28.12% 21.9% -6.22%

~There is a whopping 30% decline in combined voteshare of Congress and PRP which merged into Congress,while main opposition TDP too has seen a decline of 6% in its vote share compared to 2009

Who would you prefer as Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh?

Name Popularity Party
Y.S.Jagan Mohan Reddy

35%

YSR Congress

N.Chandra Babu Naidu

21%

    TDP
K.Kiran Kumar Reddy

14%

Congress

K.Chandra Sekhar Rao

14%

TRS

Chiranjeevi

4%

Congress

Botsa Satyanarayana

3%

Congress

Purandeeshwari

2%

Congress

*It is to be noted that the preference for KCR is for the leadership of separate state and not for the state of Andhra Pradesh as a whole.


Are you satisfied with the performance of state government?

Satisfied

    23%
    Not satisfied

52%

How is the performance of Chief Minister Kiran Kumar Reddy?

Good 18%
Average 21%
Poor     43%

Who would you prefer to lead the Congress party?

Name Congress voters Others
K.Kiran Kumar Reddy

31%

26%

Jaipal Reddy

3%

3%

Botsa Satyanarayana

7%

4%

Chiranjeevi

8%

5%

Purandheeswari

4%

4%

 What is the most critical issue affecting you in the state?

Price Rise

31%

Power crisis

16%

Lack of basic amenities

16%

Unemployment

11%

Corruption

8%

How is the performance of main opposition TDP in the state?

Good

17%

Average

27%

Poor

33%

What is the reason for your preference for YSRCP?

Welfare schemes

28%

Sympathy factor for YSR

21%

Is young

9%

Want new alternative

8%

Political preferences of various social groups in Seemandhra regions

Social group Congress TDP YSRCP
Rural women 20% 19% 36%
Youth 17% 22% 34%
Urban voters 18% 26% 28%

Political preferences of social groups in Telangana

Social Group Congress TDP TRS
Rural Women 19% 18% 25%
Youth 16% 18% 33%
Urban voters 16% 21% 29%

Political preferences of various caste groups in AP

Community name Congress-I TDP

YSR Congress

TRS BJP
Reddys

15%

6%

61%

6%

5%

Khammas

25%

49%

9%

3%

3%

Kapu/balija

29%

18%

21%

3%

4%

Other Backward classes

16%

30%%

15%

18%

9%

Malas

20%

5%

64%

3%

2%

Madigas

16%

23%

13%

21%

5%

Other upper castes

21%

15%

26%

12%

9%

Political preference of Muslims

Community Congress

TDP

YSR Congress

TRS

Others

Muslims

16% 12% 41%

14%

16%

Are welfare schemes being implemented properly in the state?

Yes

24%

No

46%

Who do you think should be credited for the implementation of welfare schemes in the state?

Congress

21%

YSR

59%

 

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